Bell could be a little underused in tournaments because his practice times werent the best. While leading on lap 158, Larson ran out of fuel. Thats why Im willing to go against my model here and bump them up. Elliott is a legitimate top 5 threat on Sunday and if he can just pick up a handful of dominator points along the way, hes going to be worth taking the risk on in DraftKings at just $9,200 salary. On a good day, Alfredo will post a top 25. Michigan is usually a pretty green race, so well likely see about 160 green flag laps, which would equal 72 possible DraftKings FPTS for fastest laps. That does not mean anything if the Cup Series has another first-time winner. Hamlin posted the third-fastest speed in practice and qualified ninth for the race.
Never played Fantasy NASCAR? Before I share this weeks picks for Auto Club, heres a look at how last weeks drivers did on DraftKings: A lot of these drivers were caught up in late crashes and werent able to get a good finish. He also ranked 11th-fastest in that category in the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a29234cc541813c362a6ef1216053161" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Note: Stats below include Cup only at Martinsville Speedway, Bristol Motor Speedway and Richmond Raceway, Kyle Larson ($10,800)Career at Auto Club: 8 starts, 2 wins, 4 top fives, 4 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 13.0. Live NASCAR odds show Kyle Larson as the race favorite at +650, followed by Chase Elliott (+700), Denny Hamlin (+800), Kyle Busch (+950) and Ryan Blaney (+1000). For his career, he's led for 282 laps at Michigan International Speedway, which is the third-most among drivers in the 2022 FireKeepers Casino starting grid. Austin Dillon ($8,000) If the obvious chalk plays in this price range this weekend, I think Austin Dillon is the safest, so thats why Im writing him up. BJ McLeod 1. However, his team Penske teammates showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth. This field is for validation purposes and should be left unchanged. ET . Martin Truex, Jr. ($9300): Truex is exceptional at high tire-wear tracks, ranking inside the top three in most metrics last year.Over each drivers last eight incident-free races at high-speed, high-wear tracks, Truex comes in second in driver rating behind only Kyle Larson. A California native, Joy was raised as a motorsports fan and started watching NASCAR extensively in 2001. Last year, Reddicks race wasnt incident free, and he finished an asterisk mark 29th. The bonus picks are changing for the 2022 season and will revolve around four head-to-head matchups each race weekend. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. The starting lineup would be set by the rulebook if qualifying gets rained out, which is likely the metric formula used predominantly in 2020. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. You have the most likely dominator in Larson and then the all three major chalk high finish and place differential plays in Bell/A. Blaney Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images. DraftKings Picks Kevin Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality. Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, look for Kyle Busch to be a top five contender wholl be a factor to win. Qualifying in NASCAR is not always as important as it is other series such as F1, but there are certain tracks where qualifying can be important. FanDuel Values
, DraftKings Values
, At some point, we have to agree that Brad Keselowski ceases to be valuable when he runs so poorly on a week-in and week-out basis. Before locking in any NASCAR DFS picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400, be sure to check out the optimal NASCAR at Fontana DFS strategy and advice from This is race No. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. A name and email address are required to post a comment. The optimal DraftKings lineup for Michigan according to my Projections is: Confidence Rating = 7.6/10. BONUS TOURNAMENT PLAY: Bubba Wallace ($6,400) If youre looking to get off the low-dollar chalk, or want to save some cap from one of the mid-$7,000 drivers, Bubba Wallace is a tournament play to consider. Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. He has three runner-up finishes on the track and -- along with Erik Jones -- is one of two Michigan natives who will be competing. Some teams will be racing for points to improve their playoff position, while others know they need a win in these final four races or their playoff dreams will be over. The following chart takes into account the very basics: the starting position and the projected finish of each driver. If Larson carries the momentum over from last year, he should be fast right off the bat this weekend. I got three data tables ready to analyze this weekend for Sundays FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan. In 2018 his finishes were 3rd and 4th. You can see who it is, and every other pick, right here. That was no fluke. In race #1 2020, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, 6th in Stage #2, had a 6.6 average running position, recorded the 5th best Total Speed Ranking and then finished 5th overall. 16 Kaulig Racing driver has a pair of eighth-place finishes while running for JTG, in 2014 and 2016. The 23rd race of the NASCAR Cup Series season takes place this weekend at Michigan International Speedway Kevin Harvick has won this race three times in the previous four years The race for positions in the NASCAR Drivers Championship continues this weekend, as the FireKeepers Casino 400 is staged at Michigan International Under 10:1, we also find Ross Chastain and Joey Logano. Kyle Busch heads into this week as the favorite (+600) after a convincing victory in the Pala Casino 400 last weekend. 10 Smithfield Ford ranked second in average running position (behind Jones) among drivers in this group at high tire wear races in 2022, which, combined with the best average finish, suggests he should be shorter than the other two drivers listed at +500 and priced closer to Jones. No wins yet. August 6, 2022 Fantasy Live Picks. Turning my attention to NASCAR odds for Sundays Pala Casino 400 (3:30 p.m. 11 car Sunday. Since Auto Club is so wide, it may reward Chastains aggressive driving style should he slide around and dive deep under cars. Speedweeks provided a shockingly profitable start to the NASCAR season It can be tricky picking the right five drivers each week, but I thought I could offer some advice for tips and drivers to use for this weeks race in Michigan. Kyle Busch Given his near-dominance on this track, you can see why McClure is high on Busch. Anthony Alfredo ($5,800) Nobody really likes this but DraftKings is really not giving us much of a choice when it comes to lineup builds this weekend; Anthony Alfredo is the no-brainer chalk play in this price range. Fantasy NASCAR Tips and Picks for Michigan. Gambling Problem? Its also the closest to my hometown. The NASCAR season continues on Sunday with the 2021 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Before setting your NASCAR DFS strategy for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure tocheck out the optimal NASCAR at Michigan DFS strategy and lineup advice from SportsLine's Mike McClure. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to the Irish Hills of Michigan to compete at Michigan International Speedway. They look at their drivers and see one or two allocations left and they think, I am low on allocations with that driver, I need to save him. Do not do that!!! The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. This will be the first race on a 2-mile oval and only the seventh race on an intermediate track in 2021. No team has won more Cup Series races at Michigan than RFK's six victories. Chris Buescher: +500. If this race at Michigan on Sunday gets crazy at the end, Bubba Wallace could sneak into the optimal lineup with a surprise finish. Since my brain works more in tournament mode, though, I actually like the 2nd-best lineup (according to my projections) a little more, and that one is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Austin Dillon, Tyler Reddick, and Anthony Alfredo. Perhaps most surprisingly, Cole Custer ($6200)hung right with his teammates in practice times, making him a very sneaky tournament play. You could also go Ryan Blaney instead of Chase Elliott in that second lineup spot. Pennzoil 400: Las Vegas Picks, Odds & Race Preview. The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. Its free to join, but as of now its just for bragging rights. Lets look at the boards most significant values for FanDuel and DraftKings. If you look at practice times at the first race at Michigan, things are a little confusing, because the top three drivers in second practice were David Stremme, JJ Yeley and Travis Kvapil. NASCAR Mailbox: Did We Get Backstage Passes to Kyle Larson Show at Auto Club? One of the races is on a road course and the other is at Daytona. I pride myself on the quality of my analysis for each race, and am glad that I have been able to help others along the way. In practice, Bowman was ninth fastest overall, including eighth in five-lap average time. Unfortunately, that was one of Stenhouses few bright spots of the season. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Now hes piloting a Toyota at 23XI Racing, and I have no doubt he can show up with speed once again on Sunday. Included in these tables are the following statistics: Its not uncommon for Michigan to be a one dominator race. Dillon/Suarez as well with Alex Bowman rounding it out. Each of his last nine Michigan appearances have resulted in top 10 finishes, and he's led at some point in seven of those races. Logano posted the fastest speed in practice on the five-lap speed chart and he qualified fourth for the race. During the competition caution on lap 20, Busch had a long pit stop to repair damage to his nose after early contact with Truex which dropped him back into the 30s. For the season, Busch ranks fourth in laps led (462) and sixth in pass differential (220). Now, RCR isnt as strong as the other teams, but it does have some wins in recent years. Tip from McGuirk Arena in Mount Pleasant is at 7 p.m. The damage didnt look severe, but it did cause him to start in the rear of the field on Sunday in a backup car. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. 22 car Sunday. I've been a serious Fantasy NASCAR player for over 10 years now, and I'm just getting started. The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings NASCAR salaries for Saturday. Like Blaney, his 30th place starting position is not representative of his true speed. Also factored in are projected laps led and fastest laps for each driver. The NASCAR Cup Series will travel to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) Sunday for the FireKeepers Casino 400. The DraftKings NASCAR Cup Series AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas slate locks at 3:30 p.m. The No promotions available. Terrence Shannon Jr is averaging 17.1 points while shooting 44.1 percent from the field. Throw in the fact that Chase has the best average finish (7.7) among active drivers at this track and you really have to like rolling the dice on last years Cup Champion. Michigan, in recent history, has shown that good qualifying position can lead to good results. Chase Elliott 3. Congrats to hooviej1125 on their win last week! The second race of the NASCAR Cup Series season is the start of the West Coast swing in not-so-sunny California. This is a bit of a bittersweet week for me, as Im sure it is for everyone heading to Fontana, Calif. Consider donating to support byclicking here. You can also look at drivers historical stats at Auto Club. Read his daily fantasy NASCAR advice and Xfinity sleepers. Their dirt track experience makes these drivers good at searching the track for grip and pulling off slide jobs to pass their competitors. Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Blaney should have no trouble moving forward. When looking at odds, you should only really use them to pick out the top two drivers for your team each week. NASCAR is running the 550hp package this weekend. GARAGE DRIVER: TYLER REDDICK (3): Reddick will have some momentum Sunday after his win at the Brickyard last week. 19 team knows they need a win this week. Now we can actually look at which drivers you should look at picking up this week before the race. Below is my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Pala Casino 400 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League Now, here are my picks! Michigan has been on of Vickers best tracks, with the last three races resulting in three top 10s, including one win and an AFP of 6.67. This type of track suits Reddick very well. Daniel Suarez 6. Last year, Busch finished 9th in Stage #1, won Stage #2, had the 4th best Total Speed Ranking, led 13 laps and then finished 7th when the checkered flag waved. On the right side, theyre bringing the same tires that were used in the Kansas and Las Vegas races this year. There are 200 laps scheduled for the FireKeepers Casino 400 on Sunday, which means were looking at 50 DraftKings FPTS up for grabs for laps led. The Michigan State Spartans are averaging 69.8 points per game, 67 points against per game, 36 rebounds per game, and 14.8 assists per game. I think youll find it really helpful when you create your own lineups. Daytona 500 Betting Odds, Picks, Predictions. Stenhouse got to the front when it mattered and became a Daytona 500 champion last week. Obviously Larson is the favorite to dominate Sundays race, but Chase Elliott has shown flashes of similar speed in this 550 hp package this season. In that contest, the top score was 291.4 and won $300 with race winner Tyler Reddick, Cindric, Michael McDowell, Bubba Wallace, Harrison Burton, and Gilliland. As far as DraftKings scoring, the rules are the same as last season: 0.45 points for each fastest lap and 0.25 for each lap led. Is it possible? With these strong finishes and extremely good price, every team owner should consider adding Brian Vickers to their team. He led 23 laps on the way to the victory. WebSportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2 million in winnings, gives his top NASCAR daily Fantasy picks Perhaps a homecoming could do wonders for Keselowski as the Detroit-area native prepares for the 2022 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway. Busch himself has four wins and the best average finish among active drivers (besides Jimmie Johnson, whos not in this race). ET. Who Will Shine in the 2023 ARCA West Season? You can click the headers below to sort the chart by that attribute. We have some tracks that are coming up on the schedule that I think we should win. Kyle Busch is the 11-2 favorite in the 2022 NASCAR at Michigan odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Kyle Larson is on the pole for this weekends race with his teammate, Chase Elliott, slated to start 2nd. Ricky Stenhouse Jr. ($7,100)Career at Auto Club: 9 starts, 0 wins, 1 top five, 2 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 17.6. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR DraftKings picks for the 2023 Pala Casino 400 at Auto Club Speedway, airing Sunday, Feb. 26 at 3:30 p.m. His No. DENNY HAMLIN (3): What should we do with Hamlin and his Dr. Enjoy the FREE content that this site offers each week? The following are a couple of DFS lineups I plan to play in GPP contests. Tyler Reddick Larson hasnt visited victory lane since February, but that was at Auto Club, the one other big 2.0-mile high-speed intermediate track on the schedule. Odds courtesy of DraftKings as of February 28, 2023. People will use Bowman and Harvick priced just above him, and Bubba Wallace priced slightly below him. The winner on the racetrack tallies 45 points, while second place gets 42, third 41 and so on. ET on Sunday. But now hes with Richard Childress Racing, and this race will be key to know how quickly he and his team can gel, especially if practice and qualifying rain out. The rest of the drivers are all in play this week. Busch posted the fastest speed in practice and qualified third for the race. Play Erik Jones at $8100. ET on DraftKings. Try it out! document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); document.getElementById( "ak_js_2" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); A daily email update (Monday through Friday) providing racing news, commentary, features, and information from Frontstretch.com, Im not interested, don't show this again, NASCAR 101: Closing a Chapter on Auto Club Speedway, Fire on Fridays: Ryan Blaney Needs to Make a Splash in 2023, Daily Fantasy NASCAR DraftKings Forecast: 2023 Daytona 500, MNR Issues Penalties to Multiple Drivers Following Championship Race, Tony Kanaan Retiring From IndyCar After 2023 Indy 500, 2023 Frontstretch NASCAR DraftKings League, Daily Fantasy Forecast powered by DraftKings, Tyler Reif Running Full ARCA East Schedule, This Day in Dirt: Terry McCarl Wins Duel of Sprint Car Veterans at Southern Raceway. Coleman Hawkins was the top player for Illinois finishing with 14 points and 11 rebounds. For example, if Christopher Bell started third and won, he would gain two points in addition to his finishing position points, totaling 47 fantasy points. Michigan | DFS NASCAR Fantasy Driver-by-Driver Breakdown (DraftKings & FanDuel) Watch on Optimal Lineup According to Jordans Projections The optimal McClure has won almost $2 million in his career as a daily Fantasy pro, and his NASCAR DFS driver pool, projections and advice can help you I have set up another Free FanDuel contest for our readers to allow everyone to play this nutty little game that adds a lot of excitement to NASCAR races for casual and diehard fans alike. Fantrax was one of the fastest-growing fantasy sites over the last few years, and were not stopping now. The gentlemen will start their engines at Michigan International Speedway today, and the lineup is set, with Bubba Wallace sitting in pole position for the first time in his career. Wallace was the only driver to go above 190 mph in the final round of qualifying. Christopher Bell, Kyle Busch, Joey Logano, and Austin Cindric round out the top 5. Read on for my daily fantasy NASCAR Michigan Fantasy Spin At Michigan, I think the road to victory lane will go thru Kyle Larson. And which value driver is a must-roster? Kyle Busch ($10,300)Career at Auto Club: 23 starts, 4 wins, 11 top fives, 16 top 10sAverage finish at Auto Club: 9.8. Reddick also had a top five average speed in this same category at the first Darlington race, coming home in second place. Although Chastain didnt have top 10 green flag speed at Auto Club in 2022, he did at both Darlington races, Michigan and Homestead. Check out our FanDuel Michigan Playability Fantasy Value Chart. Michigan DraftKings DFS Cash Game Picks Ryan Blaney ($9300): Blaney is in a great cash-game spot here, priced down from the top tier at only $9300. Showed more speed, qualifying fourth and fifth Hawkins was the top 5 is. 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